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Linux Growth Hidden by Poor Statistics

Information Week reports on a USB survey of 60 CIOs that found a slow down in the adoption of Linux, but there are problems with the survey methods. First, 60 is too small of a number even if the CIOs were from different industries.

The UBS research is based on interviews with more than 60 CIOs in a range of businesses including financial services, energy and utilities, technology, and health care.

Then there is a problem with a bias in the survey group:

More than 90% of the responding CIOs in the survey who are not current Linux users said they would not deploy the open-source operating system in their servers in this calendar year.

as pointed out by Savio Rodrigues points out in InfoWorld:

Setting aside the Linux adoption question, we should consider the Linux usage & revenue question. The analyst doesn't appear to address the growing use of Linux in shops that already use Linux; the whole, 'try it, like it, use more' scenario. Also not accounted is whether the 10% who are going to adopt Linux will add one copy each or add 100 copies each.

Matthew Aslett summed it up nicely in the Open Source Weblog:

So those that have not adopted Linux are expected to continue to not do so, but there is room for considerable uptick amongst those that have.

"Statistics are like a drunk with a lampost: used more for support than illumination."
Sir Winston Churchill


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Dan Sullivan's Bio:

Dan Sullivan is a systems architect with 20 years of IT experience that includes engagements in enterprise security, application design, and systems architecture. His experience includes a broad range of industries, including financial services, manufacturing, government, retail, gas and oil production, power generation, and education. Dan’s security-related project work has ranged from requirements analysis for enterprise information security to designing and implementing security for database applications and enterprise portals. Dan has written about information security and other enterprise information management topics for Business Security Advisor, DM Review, Intelligent Enterprise, and E-Business Advisor. You can contact Dan at: dan_sullivan@realtimepublishers.net